I'm profoundly grateful and touched by the great distinction and
honor and great compliment accorded me by the authorities of Harvard
this morning. I'm overwhelmed, as a matter of fact, and I'm rather
fearful of my inability to maintain such a high rating as you've
been generous enough to accord to me. In these historic and lovely
surroundings, this perfect day, and this very wonderful assembly, it
is a tremendously impressive thing to an individual in my position.
But to speak more seriously, I need not tell you, gentlemen, that
the world situation is very serious. That must be apparent to all
intelligent people. I think one difficulty is that the problem is
one of such enormous complexity that the very mass of facts
presented to the public by press and radio make it exceedingly
difficult for the man in the street to reach a clear appraisement of
the situation. Furthermore, the people of this country are distant
from the troubled areas of the earth and it is hard for them to
comprehend the plight and consequent reactions of the long-suffering
peoples, and the effect of those reactions on their governments in
connection with our efforts to promote peace in the world.
In considering the requirements for the rehabilitation of Europe,
the physical loss of life, the visible destruction of cities,
factories, mines and railroads was correctly estimated but it has
become obvious during recent months that this visible destruction
was probably less serious than the dislocation of the entire fabric
of European economy. For the past 10 years conditions have been
highly abnormal. The feverish preparation for war and the more
feverish maintenance of the war effort engulfed all aspects of
national economies. Machinery has fallen into disrepair or is
entirely obsolete. Under the arbitrary and destructive Nazi rule,
virtually every possible enterprise was geared into the German war
machine. Long-standing commercial ties, private institutions, banks,
insurance companies, and shipping companies disappeared, through
loss of capital, absorption through nationalization, or by simple
destruction. In many countries, confidence in the local currency has
been severely shaken. The breakdown of the business structure of
Europe during the war was complete. Recovery has been seriously
retarded by the fact that two years after the close of hostilities a
peace settlement with Germany and Austria has not been agreed upon.
But even given a more prompt solution of these difficult problems
the rehabilitation of the economic structure of Europe quite
evidently will require a much longer time and greater effort than
had been foreseen.
There is a phase of this matter which is both interesting and
serious. The farmer has always produced the foodstuffs to exchange
with the city dweller for the other necessities of life. This
division of labor is the basis of modern civilization. At the
present time it is threatened with breakdown. The town and city
industries are not producing adequate goods to exchange with the
food producing farmer. Raw materials and fuel are in short supply.
Machinery is lacking or worn out. The farmer or the peasant cannot
find the goods for sale which he desires to purchase. So the sale of
his farm produce for money which he cannot use seems to him an
unprofitable transaction. He, therefore, has withdrawn many fields
from crop cultivation and is using them for grazing. He feeds more
grain to stock and finds for himself and his family an ample supply
of food, however short he may be on clothing and the other ordinary
gadgets of civilization. Meanwhile people in the cities are short of
food and fuel. So the governments are forced to use their foreign
money and credits to procure these necessities abroad. This process
exhausts funds which are urgently needed for reconstruction. Thus a
very serious situation is rapidly developing which bodes no good for
the world. The modern system of the division of labor upon which the
exchange of products is based is in danger of breaking down.
The truth of the matter is that Europe's requirements for the next
three or four years of foreign food and other essential products -
principally from America - are so much greater than her present
ability to pay that she must have substantial additional help or
face economic, social, and political deterioration of a very grave
character.
The remedy lies in breaking the vicious circle and restoring the
confidence of the European people in the economic future of their
own countries and of Europe as a whole. The manufacturer and the
farmer throughout wide areas must be able and willing to exchange
their products for currencies the continuing value of which is not
open to question.
Aside from the demoralizing effect on the world at large and the
possibilities of disturbances arising as a result of the desperation
of the people concerned, the consequences to the economy of the
United States should be apparent to all. It is logical that the
United States should do whatever it is able to do to assist in the
return of normal economic health in the world, without which there
can be no political stability and no assured peace. Our policy is
directed not against any country or doctrine but against hunger,
poverty, desperation and chaos. Its purpose should be the revival of
a working economy in the world so as to permit the emergence of
political and social conditions in which free institutions can
exist. Such assistance, I am convinced, must not be on a piecemeal
basis as various crises develop. Any assistance that this Government
may render in the future should provide a cure rather than a mere
palliative. Any government that is willing to assist in the task of
recovery will find full co-operation I am sure, on the part of the
United States Government. Any government which maneuvers to block
the recovery of other countries cannot expect help from us.
Furthermore, governments, political parties, or groups which seek to
perpetuate human misery in order to profit therefrom politically or
otherwise will encounter the opposition of the United States.
It is already evident that, before the United States Government can
proceed much further in its efforts to alleviate the situation and
help start the European world on its way to recovery, there must be
some agreement among the countries of Europe as to the requirements
of the situation and the part those countries themselves will take
in order to give proper effect to whatever action might be
undertaken by this Government. It would be neither fitting nor
efficacious for this Government to undertake to draw up unilaterally
a program designed to place Europe on its feet economically. This is
the business of the Europeans. The initiative, I think, must come
from Europe. The role of this country should consist of friendly aid
in the drafting of a European program and of later support of such a
program so far as it may be practical for us to do so. The program
should be a joint one, agreed to by a number, if not all European
nations.
An essential part of any successful action on the part of the United
States is an understanding on the part of the people of America of
the character of the problem and the remedies to be applied.
Political passion and prejudice should have no part. With foresight,
and a willingness on the part of our people to face up to the vast
responsibility which history has clearly placed upon our country,
the difficulties I have outlined can and will be overcome.
I am sorry that on each occasion I have said something publicly in
regard to our international situation, I've been forced by the
necessities of the case to enter into rather technical discussions.
But to my mind, it is of vast importance that our people reach some
general understanding of what the complications really are, rather
than react from a passion or a prejudice or an emotion of the
moment. As I said more formally a moment ago, we are remote from the
scene of these troubles. It is virtually impossible at this distance
merely by reading, or listening, or even seeing photographs or
motion pictures, to grasp at all the real significance of the
situation. And yet the whole world of the future hangs on a proper
judgment. It hangs, I think, to a large extent on the realization of
the American people, of just what are the various dominant factors.
What are the reactions of the people? What are the justifications of
those reactions? What are the sufferings? What is needed? What can
best be done? What must be done? Thank you very much."