BBC Horizon documentary
about predicting earthquakes.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/science/horizon/2003/earthquakestorms.shtml
TranscriptEarthquakes are among the most devastating natural
disasters on the planet. In the last hundred years they have claimed the
lives of over one million people. Earthquakes are destructive mainly
because of their unpredictable nature. It is impossible to say
accurately when a quake will strike but a new theory could help save
lives by preparing cities long in advance for an earthquake...A city called Izmit seemed to be the next place that
would be struck. With a population of 500,000 people. Newspapers,
science journals and other publications all printed this remarkable
news. Unfortunately there was not enough interest from the local
community. In August 1999 a massively energetic earthquake lasting just
45 seconds killed 25,000 people.
...using the data acquired from the Izmit quake they
began to work out where the next most likely earthquake site would be.The answer would cause a great deal of concern. At the
edge of the red zone lay the city of Istanbul, home to more than four
million people.